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Tag Archives: XRO

Clare Capital’s Thoughts on Xero’s Valuation

We produced a Thought Piece on our take on Xero’s valuation at the beginning of October 2013, before the US$150 million capital raise and when the share price was trading at $19.00. Three months later the share price is now at $42.00.

The Executive Summary of the Thought Piece is highlighted in the bullet points below:

  • Xero is a high-growth technology company and not a Ponzi scheme.
  • Losses are fine as long as value is being created.
  • However – from a fundamental valuation perspective Xero is a challenge. First – there are a wide range of future potential growth scenarios. Second – we don’t know when Xero will move to being cash flow positive. From patient for profit and impatient for growth – to the reverse.

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